Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 23.235870 26.891332 30.853592 35.457260 40.648355 46.309734 52.940088
2025-01-12 16.306269 21.162799 26.952170 34.312536 43.366340 54.080988 67.656806
2025-01-19 11.966362 17.072946 23.650648 32.634118 44.456852 59.344260 79.345308
2025-01-26 10.402956 16.009827 23.687559 34.771911 50.129164 70.386516 98.803191
2025-02-02 9.574214 15.713393 24.563846 37.942469 57.273005 83.743526 122.175580
2025-02-09 8.247138 14.416785 23.767004 38.537927 60.744990 92.237876 139.442567
2025-02-16 7.042768 13.080022 22.675017 38.472990 63.115696 99.203789 154.887357
2025-02-23 5.998189 11.813088 21.486207 38.050277 64.796480 105.151331 169.103275
2025-03-02 5.175565 10.781255 20.518653 37.817494 66.659804 111.386964 184.014831
2025-03-09 4.484229 9.865489 19.611588 37.544584 68.363732 117.400452 198.850889
2025-03-16 3.630052 8.486972 17.698162 35.308802 66.580596 117.725906 204.750711
2025-03-23 3.297984 8.093625 17.525883 36.107730 69.951500 126.487127 224.471128
2025-03-30 3.070844 7.914766 17.796445 37.852252 75.305416 139.180758 251.888690
2025-04-06 2.586435 7.089248 16.702162 36.941461 75.908485 144.055613 266.926385
2025-04-13 2.107943 6.172611 15.279892 35.208550 74.815773 145.901482 276.940902
2025-04-20 2.021481 6.190635 15.840210 37.503972 81.470735 161.731399 311.832860
2025-04-27 2.017158 6.417085 16.883625 40.891839 90.473740 182.266376 355.989589
2025-05-04 1.820915 6.095737 16.641820 41.527908 94.110758 193.259992 383.827321
2025-05-11 1.606123 5.675433 16.106396 41.458704 96.307835 201.697759 407.487115
2025-05-18 1.399250 5.228839 15.438231 41.007544 97.659460 208.587195 428.629333
2025-05-25 1.229626 4.853541 14.889393 40.759071 99.393252 216.274902 451.599799
2025-06-01 1.079854 4.503501 14.351004 40.467746 100.994116 223.769088 474.549047
2025-06-08 0.870050 3.892780 13.013755 38.080413 97.800347 221.571815 478.900453